Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.774339 2.041087 2.334296 2.680522 3.078252 3.520953 4.051281
2025-06-01 1.390003 1.736213 2.148774 2.676751 3.334872 4.128787 5.160362
2025-06-08 1.105382 1.482166 1.963492 2.623709 3.506680 4.648350 6.239570
2025-06-15 0.970536 1.385570 1.949366 2.771662 3.942080 5.551231 7.937814
2025-06-22 0.840717 1.269535 1.884994 2.833384 4.260754 6.334131 9.585472
2025-06-29 0.718837 1.142083 1.780559 2.814677 4.451794 6.951354 11.074215
2025-07-06 0.597163 0.993904 1.620273 2.682102 4.442693 7.256193 12.116731
2025-07-13 0.547006 0.950491 1.614949 2.789982 4.823673 8.213955 14.327974
2025-07-20 0.509295 0.921228 1.626811 2.924764 5.262947 9.317690 16.929215
2025-07-27 0.468361 0.879718 1.610797 3.006371 5.616678 10.314111 19.470612
2025-08-03 0.427617 0.832272 1.576922 3.048981 5.901809 11.218415 21.957421
2025-08-10 0.375800 0.756475 1.480478 2.959923 5.925092 11.637234 23.571182
2025-08-17 0.322841 0.672461 1.360017 2.813024 5.826301 11.829685 24.809425
2025-08-24 0.291846 0.628423 1.312189 2.805189 6.005831 12.594440 27.322329
2025-08-31 0.260007 0.578092 1.244870 2.747439 6.073411 13.139557 29.451744
2025-09-07 0.250439 0.574398 1.274463 2.901096 6.615360 14.751952 34.131882
2025-09-14 0.234242 0.553596 1.264242 2.964958 6.966577 15.995582 38.159934
2025-09-21 0.213581 0.519583 1.220065 2.944957 7.122680 16.821922 41.335962
2025-09-28 0.187367 0.468721 1.130614 2.806001 6.978873 16.937564 42.826414
2025-10-05 0.179775 0.462172 1.144497 2.918743 7.460315 18.594969 48.349588
2025-10-12 0.174218 0.459936 1.168444 3.059681 8.031210 20.543800 54.889596
2025-10-19 0.165920 0.449471 1.170561 3.145016 8.471185 22.222253 60.964619
2025-10-26 0.156231 0.433974 1.157830 3.189569 8.809835 23.684403 66.669388